Sphere A: Companies
16.1 M
2020: 16.1 M
FWPM(X, Y, Z, S)
Future of Work Parametric Model
Start from a 2020 baseline for France or the United States and project a possible 2035 equilibrium. Each slider expresses a belief about what the selected country looks like in 2035 after automation, interaction robots, assistance income, and Schumpeterian renewal have reshaped the workforce.
2035 adult population model
36.3 M
2020: 36.3 M
2035 scenario GDP
€2.30 T
2020: €2.30 T
2035 social usefulness
76%
2020: 79%
Workforce map
France: three spheres of adult activity in 2035
Bubble size reflects adult population share in the 2035 scenario. Circle slices reflect subgroup composition in that projected year.
Sphere B: Service-to-person
10.9 M
2020: 10.9 M
Sphere C: Supported adults
9.3 M
2020: 9.3 M
Under 20 population
2035: 15.5 M
2020: 15.5 M
Age 65+ population
2035: 13.5 M
2020: 13.5 M
2020 employed adults
27.0 M
2020 civil servants
5.7 M
Output metric
20.7% unemployment
2020 comparison appears here.
Output metric
79.3% usefulness
2020 comparison appears here.
Output metric
0.31 estimated Gini
2020 comparison appears here.
Output metric
37.8% social expense ratio
Economy
74.4% adults with a role
2020 comparison appears here.
Service flows
€0.70 T to sphere B
2020 comparison appears here.
Assistance flows
€0.17 T to sphere C
2020 comparison appears here.
Simulation narrative
Interpretation of the chosen 2035 scenario
Baseline and assumptions
2020 starting points and assumptions
Official source anchors
- France: INED / INSEE population by age, 1 January 2020
- France: INSEE civil service employment, 2020
- France: INSEE labour market indicators, Q4 2020
- France: INSEE national accounts, GDP in 2020
- United States: Census age structure from the 2020 Census
- United States: BLS employment and earnings, 2020
- United States: BEA gross domestic product, 2020
Modeling choices
The three FWPM spheres are not official statistical buckets. The simulator starts from official population, GDP, civil service and labour-market figures, then derives stylized sphere splits for France and the United States. Each country keeps a 2020 baseline so the page can display a 2035 scenario against a visible comparison point.
GDP and fiscal flows are stylized estimates intended for scenario comparison, not forecasting. Civil-service employment in 2035 now adjusts to both GDP capacity and the interaction-robot ratio. Assistance costs vary with social usefulness: useful volunteers and low-income active adults cost less than inactive adults. The Gini coefficient is a grouped-income estimate that rises when high-productivity jobs are concentrated among fewer adults.